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The notable progress of the vaccination process has been pointed out as a differentiating
factor, in 2021, together with the effectiveness of measures adopted to maintain the business
fabric, employment and household incomes, in order to achieve a return to economic
growth. Thus, the gradual normalisation of the health situation and economic policy measures
adopted to mitigate the economic and social impact brought to the surface consumption that
had been dormant for several quarters.
The State-guaranteed guarantee programmes approved during 2020, which enabled the
mobilisation of a credit volume of more than 135 billion Euros in more than 1,150,000
operations by the end of 2021, represented a much greater effort in terms of GDP than in other
European countries. These programmes have proven their usefulness in sustaining productive
activity in a crisis situation, facilitating a faster recovery (according to the latest data published
in 2021 by Bruegel and made in relation to each country’s GDP in 2019, in Spain, these
programmes have represented a GDP volume of 10.6%, slightly below Italy’s by 12.2%, but
well above France’s by 5.8% or Germany’s by 1.7%). In addition, the arrival of European funds
from the Next Generation EU programme began to have an impact in 2021, and this is
expected to be even more important in 2022 and 2023. Finally, the fact that the economic
recovery was practically generalised at international level contributed to the boost experienced
by Spanish exports.
With regard to the labour market, during 2021, levels prior to the outbreak of the pandemic
have generally recovered. According to data from the Labour Force Survey (EPA), 840,700
jobs were created in 2021, equivalent to an increase in employment of 4.4%, compared to the
loss of 622,600 jobs during 2020 (which represented a rate of decline of 3.1%). Moreover, the
total number of unemployed stood at 3,103,800 at the end of the year, below the figure for the
fourth quarter of 2019. This brought the unemployment rate to 13.3%, in the fourth quarter of
2021, compared with 16.1% in the last quarter of 2020 and 13.8% in the fourth quarter of 2019.
Thus, more jobs have been recovered in 2021 than those lost during 2020. It should be
recalled that these figures do not include employees affected by ERTE (Temporary Layoff
Plans), who for the purposes of the official figures count as employed at all times. In any case,
they continued to fall during 2021, so that from more than 3.5 million workers in this situation
on April 2020, they fell to just over 100,000 affected by the end of 2021. Thus, even if the
number of workers in ERTE is subtracted from the total number of employed workers, the total
number of “effective” employees at the end of 2021 was already higher than the total number
of employed workers before the pandemic. In this way, ERTE have been confirmed as an
effective tool to facilitate the rapid adjustment of companies’ employment in crisis situations
(and for the rapid reincorporation of employees afterwards), allowing the Spanish economic
fabric to adjust its effectively available workforce without having to resort to redundancies, as
had traditionally been the case.
In 2021, we witnessed a pick-up in inflation at international level, initially transitory. In Spain,
inflation averaged 3.1% in 2021, up from -0.3% in 2020. This pick-up was largely due to higher
energy prices, price pressures stemming from global supply problems for certain components,
such as semiconductors, and also to a base effect stemming from low inflation in the previous